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College Football Notes from Week 1


Boise and BYU control their own BCS destiny. If BYU runs the table, and this fall correctly, they might have a legit shot at the BCS Championship game.

Navy's Defense is better then we all though. They will likley go 8-4 with a Junior quarterback, a Sophomore fullback and 2 Junior Wing Backs...next year could be a 10 win season

William an Mary...is good. But Virginia is BAAAAAD. So is Duke

Air Force will have something to say in the MWC title race.

Nevada was either over rated, or ND is the real deal. Maybe a little of both.

Central Michigan's defense is better than I though, but their "high powered" offense didn't do a thing!

Bowling Green proved Troy to be what they are. A Sunbelt team.

Speaking of the Sunbelt...who saw that coming from North Texas?

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Re: Troy

I’m kind of surprised by their collapse. This is a team that’s beaten Oklahoma State and Missouri in the not too distant past and took LSU to the wire last year. Totally surprising.

Re: North Texas. Surprising? Yes, but Ball State showed how capable they are of a total choke job in last year’s MAC championship game.

by Nico2.0 on Sep 6, 2009 8:22 AM PDT reply actions  

And BGSU is one of the better teams in the MAC this year...

They wont beat Central Michigan but everyone else is beatable.

http://cmufootball.blogspot.com/

by CapitolLions on Sep 6, 2009 11:47 AM PDT up reply actions  

to be honest, that was a very ignorant post

Urban Meyer has said himself that the starting talent for Troy is SEC calibre. The problem is depth in the secondary and coaching. Lets not forget Troy took USM to the wire, blew out OSU two years ago had LSU down 28 points late in the 3rd quarter.

I understand that SunBelt isn’t exactly cream of the crop, but Troy will rebound and prove to very much be a CUSA calibre team.

he was injured. injured bad.

by troy145 on Sep 8, 2009 9:33 PM PDT up reply actions  

Rebound if they might....

Troy is good. Probably good enough to be a average team and a once in a while contender in CUSA or the MAC but my point was more that Bowling Green is better than advertised…

But the Sunbelt is what it is, and Troy is the best of them.

http://cmufootball.blogspot.com/

by CapitolLions on Sep 9, 2009 6:44 AM PDT up reply actions  

I will say that if Troy keeps recruiting like they have been the last few years...

They wont be in the Sunbelt long. They are one of the best recruiting Non-BCS and Non-MWC schools. They get several 4 stars and a handful of 3 stars a year…I wish Central Michigan could get that!

Gotta love being in the south.

http://cmufootball.blogspot.com/

by CapitolLions on Sep 9, 2009 6:46 AM PDT up reply actions  

Troy...

The three-time defending Sun Belt Conference champions are 1-9 against the SEC under longtime coach Larry Blakeney, with the lone win coming at Mississippi State in 2001. They also are 1-15 against ranked opponents—0-8 against top-10 teams—since joining the Football Bowl Subdivision in 2001.

http://cmufootball.blogspot.com/

by CapitolLions on Sep 12, 2009 6:24 AM PDT up reply actions  

well this Ball St. team isn't nearly the team that they had last year..

I did however think they would beat NT

http://cmufootball.blogspot.com/

by CapitolLions on Sep 6, 2009 11:47 AM PDT reply actions  

Nevada IS overrated

Kaepernick is not an accurate thrower at all. He’s dangerous with his Kaeperlegs though. The running backs are good and dangerous but if Kaepernick can’t keep the defense honest with his passing then the offense will have a hard time getting into the end zone. With that said, the offense still has the potential to be dangerous and put up a lot of points.
The defense is another story. The pass defense is horrible. Clausen could have played left handed and still put up at least 21 points for the offense. So even if Nevada scores on you, they’re still very beatable in a shootout.

Watch out BCS...one day Boise State will be National Champs.

by Dr. Jrig on Sep 8, 2009 10:34 AM PDT reply actions  

I'll completely agree that Nevada looked overrated

But Boise looked overrated in their game too, how they didn’t blow them out is a mystery to me.

And I’ll tell you who is definitely overrated: Chris Ault

by sharks on Sep 10, 2009 11:53 AM PDT up reply actions  

Re: Boise State controlling own destiny

I’m not sure how you figure that. Assume both BYU and Boise win out, BYU would be a lock to be in a BCS game (perhaps the Championship game as you suggest) but I figure Boise would get screwed. The BCS Bowl games only have to take 1 mid-major team, as such I can’t see the Fiesta Bowl taking Boise State when they could take the 2nd place finisher in the Pac-10 or Big Ten (be it Oregon State, Ohio State or Cal.) If the BCS is not forced to take Boise State (as they wouldn’t be) I wouldn’t expect to see them playing in a BCS game….

by Michael White on Sep 8, 2009 1:25 PM PDT reply actions  

If they both win out they will both get bids barring some wierd situation like...

Florida goes undefeated except for the SEC Championship game or ND goes undefeated

http://cmufootball.blogspot.com/

by CapitolLions on Sep 8, 2009 8:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

one more thing...if Boise goes undefeated they will be in the top 5 in the BCS no problem...

BYU, TCU, Boise and Utah started out being ranked in the top 25…The BCS will have no one to blame but themselves if in Jan they are looking at

BCS Rankings:

1) FLA
2) Tex
3) BYU
4) Penn
5) Boise

I don’t think PSU is that good really..they just have a winable schedule…a grossly easy one.

http://cmufootball.blogspot.com/

by CapitolLions on Sep 8, 2009 8:57 PM PDT reply actions  

Perhaps I don’t understand the rules correctly (as it pertains to selecting Bowl Participants) but say Boise is in the top 5, the Fiesta Bowl would not be forced to select Boise (assuming BYU is ahead of Boise.) Only 1 non-BCS team is assured of a BCS bid if they rank high enough, but that bid would go to BYU. Otherwise, the Fiesta Bowl would get to choose from any other team that qualifies for a BCS game; meaning they could choose to pass on #5 ranked Boise for say #8 ranked Oregon State.

by Michael White on Sep 9, 2009 8:17 AM PDT up reply actions  

They wouldn't be forced to no..

But if a team is in the Top 5 or 6 in the BCS and a BCS bowl doesn’t take them as an at large, that will only add more fuel to the fire of how messed up things are….I think they would choose 2 non BCS teams in this scenario.

http://cmufootball.blogspot.com/

by CapitolLions on Sep 9, 2009 8:25 AM PDT reply actions  

except of course ND...it they are in the TOP 10 they are likley to get a bid, due to the money

ND could screw the whole thing up with a 1 or 2 loss season.

http://cmufootball.blogspot.com/

by CapitolLions on Sep 9, 2009 8:27 AM PDT up reply actions  

Could end up with

1) FLA
2) Tex
3) BYU
4) Penn
5) Boise
6) Notre Dame
7) LSU
8) Oregon State

In this case, Oregon St, and Boise would both probably miss out HAHA.

http://cmufootball.blogspot.com/

by CapitolLions on Sep 9, 2009 8:28 AM PDT up reply actions  

It might add fuel to the fire, but I doubt the Fiesta Bowl would care. It’s not that long ago that the Rose Bowl selected Illinois when they were ranked between 10-15.

This is the problem with being a fan of mid-major teams in a college system still driven by Bowl Games. The Fiesta Bowl would almost certainly select the best available Pac-10 or Big Ten (or as you correctly mention, Notre Dame) team and pass on Boise even if Boise is ranked in the top 5.

Oh well, I guess we can cross this bridge when we come to it, but suffice it to say, for Boise State fans out there, I would not view BYU beating Oklahoma a good thing for Bronco BCS hopes.

by Michael White on Sep 9, 2009 9:03 AM PDT up reply actions  

Well, Utah and TCU at least have a chance to beat BYU..

and control their own…

http://cmufootball.blogspot.com/

by CapitolLions on Sep 9, 2009 9:19 AM PDT up reply actions  

Since I’m bored at work, I’ll split hairs. In truth, neither BYU nor Boise State actually controlls their own destiny. Only teams in the Pac-10, Big Ten, Big 12, ACC, SEC and Big East truly control their own destiny. Notre Dame has a special rule which allows them an automatic bid if they finish in the top 8. I assume finishing the year undefeated would land ND in the top 8, so I suppose you could say the Irish control their own destiny as well (but not to the extent teams in BCS conferences do.)

No mid-major team controlls their own destiny. Something needs to happen for them to be in the BCS. One mid-major team (at most) is given an automatic bid; as of now that looks like BYU would have the best chance, but who really knows? Voters could give the votes to Boise State or another team. The point is both BYU and Boise State could run the table, but no matter what, they need voters to get on board.

by Michael White on Sep 9, 2009 9:34 AM PDT up reply actions  

Now that I think about it

the teams in the Big Ten don’t truly control their own destiny either. The Big Ten and Pac-10 don’t have a conference championship game. That is not a problem in the Pac-10, since all teams play one another. In the Big Ten, teams do not play all other conference teams. As such, there can be two teams which go undefeated during the year and do not play one another during the Big Ten season. Ultimately, one tiebreaker is final BCS standings, which again, comes down to a vote….

by Michael White on Sep 9, 2009 9:49 AM PDT up reply actions  

I agree with your points about the "Own Destiny" thing...

I guess I just hope that if Boise and one of the MWC schools goes undefeated so we can see what will happen.

http://cmufootball.blogspot.com/

by CapitolLions on Sep 9, 2009 11:28 AM PDT up reply actions  

Big XII

The Big XII’s ridiculous tie-breaker rules mean they’re in the hands of pollsters too. Remember the Big XII South had Texas, Texas Tech and Oklahoma with identical records last year and their methodology to break the tie was BCS ranking. They even had a chance to address it in the off season and didn’t despite all of them complaining about it.

by Nico2.0 on Sep 9, 2009 10:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yes, but that is only because those teams all lost to one another. If any of those teams had run the table, they wouldn’t have had to worry about the tie-breaker, and thus pollsters wouldnt have come into play. Big 12 teams control their own destiny isasmuch as if they win all their games they are assured a spot in a BCS bowl game.

by Michael White on Sep 10, 2009 7:54 AM PDT up reply actions  

But...

…they did lose to each other and they did require pollsters to come into play. I’m not saying it’s as extreme a situation as with mid-majors, but it’s stupid considering they could fix it.

by Nico2.0 on Sep 10, 2009 9:42 AM PDT up reply actions  

Sure, I’ll agree its stupid because I think the BCS in and of itself is stupid. But I’m not really sure how easily fixable it is. Say Texas, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma all go 12-1, with the 1 loss being against one another. Also say that none of those teams played any 1-AA opponents. At some point, you are going to have to come out with some sort of arbitrary tiebreaker and the BCS rankings certainly qualify. I mean, is it any worse than the way the Pac-10 used to do it, where the team that hadn’t been to the Rose Bowl in the longest time would be granted the Rose Bowl bid?

by Michael White on Sep 10, 2009 11:51 AM PDT up reply actions  

My suggestion for the fix...

…is point differential among the three teams. Add up how many they scored and subtract how many they allowed in the relevant games. Team with the biggest number wins. In that case, Oklahoma would’ve gone seeing as they housed Texas Tech. It’s at least settled on the field more than allowing voters to come into it.

by Nico2.0 on Sep 10, 2009 12:16 PM PDT up reply actions  

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