John ran each set of projections for the Ivy League (both Dan Hanner's and Ken Pomeroy's) through 10,000 simulations. The end results were widely different, which shows how wild the eight-team conference could be this season.
Under Pomeroy's system, Harvard is right there with Princeton at the top of the pack. In fact, the two are virtually indistinguishable. But with Hanner's numbers, the Crimson don't fare too well as the losses of Curry and Casey are exaggerated.
After taking away the challenge from Harvard, Princeton won the title outright 57% of the time. Also, Columbia gets a big boost, almost tripling its chances. On the other side, Harvard plummets and Penn's chances go from longshot to non-existant.
In either case, Princeton hangs at the top of the standings, and sure looks like the team to beat in the Ivy.